I have this theory about bubbles like the 2008 financial crisis and now AI, that like, often it can sound like “all the experts agree” but most experts are just parroting other experts, the number of actual unique experts with unique opinions gleaned from their unique exploration of the data is relatively small (or that the underlying data is flawed and the number of experts looking at it doesn’t matter). In this theory the number of CEO’s who predict the end of work, is not at all correlated or perhaps inversely correlated with its likliehood.
To further extrapolate, what models are being used to predict the end of work and jobs? how many different models are being used? How many people or institutions are independently coming to the same conclusion based on independent analysis?
I have a suspicion that these CEOs are publishing these “internal” emails to capture some attention for a day and to show how seriously they take this AI thing.
I was impressed by the Ghibli image generation days, but for coding on a real project, AI tools disappoint me on a weekly basis (whenever on Mondays I try to give it another shot to see if it got any better), so I’m not sure where we are headed.
I have this theory about bubbles like the 2008 financial crisis and now AI, that like, often it can sound like “all the experts agree” but most experts are just parroting other experts, the number of actual unique experts with unique opinions gleaned from their unique exploration of the data is relatively small (or that the underlying data is flawed and the number of experts looking at it doesn’t matter). In this theory the number of CEO’s who predict the end of work, is not at all correlated or perhaps inversely correlated with its likliehood.
To further extrapolate, what models are being used to predict the end of work and jobs? how many different models are being used? How many people or institutions are independently coming to the same conclusion based on independent analysis?
I have a suspicion that these CEOs are publishing these “internal” emails to capture some attention for a day and to show how seriously they take this AI thing.
I was impressed by the Ghibli image generation days, but for coding on a real project, AI tools disappoint me on a weekly basis (whenever on Mondays I try to give it another shot to see if it got any better), so I’m not sure where we are headed.